Tag: investing

Dec 19th

5 Questions Wealthy Families Should Ask Advisors About in a Lower Interest Rate Environment

In September 2024 we saw a Fed interest rate cut of 0.5 percentage points and another rate cut of 0.25 in November. Now, as we start 2025, The Fed is considering additional rate cuts. For ultra-high-net-worth individuals (UHNWIs), shifts in interest rates carry significant implications for wealth management strategies. Lower interest rates—though more elevated than in prior cycles—can influence everything from investment decisions to long-term planning. To navigate this landscape effectively, Whittier Trust advises affluent families to check in with their advisors to assess risks, seize opportunities, and safeguard their legacies.

Here are five essential questions to guide those conversations:

1. How Should My Investment Strategy Adjust to Reflect Market Conditions?

Interest rate cuts tend to buoy stock valuations, often making equities a more attractive option than bonds in certain scenarios. However, the dynamics of today's market—where interest rates remain higher than historical lows—warrant a nuanced approach. UHNWIs should ask their advisors about the wisdom of rebalancing their portfolios to capitalize on sectors poised to benefit from economic growth spurred by rate cuts.

For example, technology and consumer discretionary sectors often thrive when borrowing becomes more affordable, stimulating corporate growth. Conversely, some traditionally defensive sectors may underperform. The goal is to ensure your portfolio is positioned to benefit from rate-driven shifts while maintaining the long-term diversification necessary to weather economic uncertainty.

2. What Role Should Bonds Play in My Portfolio Now?

While bond yields have been suppressed in recent years, even modest increases in yields can make fixed-income assets more attractive as part of a diversified portfolio. Families relying on predictable income streams should consider whether their bond allocations need adjustments to optimize for yield and risk.

Ask your advisor if now is the right time to reintroduce or increase exposure to investment-grade bonds, municipal bonds, or alternative fixed-income vehicles. The relationship between rising bond yields and overall portfolio performance should be carefully analyzed to avoid unintended risk.

3. Is My Portfolio Adequately Hedged Against Inflation?

Lower interest rates stemming from Fed rate cuts often coincide with muted inflation, which can diminish the urgency of inflation-hedging strategies. However, inflation trends are dynamic and UHNWIs must remain vigilant. Ask your advisor to review whether your current portfolio includes sufficient protection against potential inflationary pressures in the future.

Real assets, such as real estate and commodities, can serve as hedges while offering diversification benefits. Meanwhile, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) may be less necessary in a low-inflation environment. An advisor's expertise can help you fine-tune the balance between inflation protection and growth-oriented investments.

4. Are There Opportunities for Alternative Investments in This Environment?

Lower interest rates often drive interest in alternative investments, which can offer uncorrelated returns and enhanced growth potential. Private equity, venture capital and real estate are often key areas of focus for UHNWIs seeking to diversify and capitalize on rate-driven opportunities.

A crucial question to ask your advisor is whether the timing aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance. In a shifting rate environment, access to exclusive investment opportunities through private markets can complement traditional portfolios, particularly for families with multigenerational wealth aspirations, but it’s important to ensure this decision is right for you.

5. How Can We Leverage Lower Interest Rates for Long-Term Wealth Transfer?

An interest rate cut creates potential opportunities for intergenerational wealth planning. Lower rates can reduce the cost of intra-family loans, making it more affordable to transfer wealth in ways that minimize estate and gift tax exposure. Additionally, strategies like grantor-retained annuity trusts (GRATs) become particularly attractive in a lower-rate environment. 

Meet with your wealth management advisor to evaluate how the current rates align with your estate planning objectives. By employing rate-sensitive strategies effectively, families can amplify the impact of their wealth transfers while preserving their legacy.

Partnering for Strategic Decisions

Navigating this period of post-pandemic inflation, one currently defined by periodic Fed interest rate cuts requires strategic decision-making and close collaboration with your advisor. Every family’s financial situation is unique, and a tailored approach is essential.

The interplay between interest rate cuts, market trends, and long-term goals underscores the importance of regularly revisiting your financial and estate plans. These five questions provide a strong starting point for meaningful discussions with your advisor, helping you adapt to evolving market conditions while safeguarding your family’s future.

An experienced advisor not only understands the technical aspects of wealth management but also acknowledges the emotional considerations that come with stewarding significant assets. By focusing on both, UHNWIs can position themselves for success across generations, regardless of economic shifts. At Whittier Trust, we’re committed to helping you navigate these complexities with a customized, thoughtful approach that evolves alongside your goals.

For answers to these questions and more, start a conversation with a Whittier Trust advisor today by visiting our contact page. 

From Investments to Family Office to Trustee Services and more, we are your single-source solution.

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Sep 26th

Robert Levy Named Director of Investments at Whittier Trust

Whittier Trust, the oldest multi-family office headquartered on the West Coast, is proud to announce that Robert L. Levy has been elevated to the role of Director of Investments for Whittier Trust Company of Nevada, Inc., as a reflection of his continued dedication and contributions to the firm. In this new role, Robert helps oversee the company’s investment strategy, leads a highly skilled investment team and spearheads the identification and execution of key investment opportunities while guiding client investment policy objectives.

David Dahl, President & CEO of Whittier Trust, commented on Robert’s remarkable career, stating, “Robert has been with Whittier Trust for more than two decades and has consistently demonstrated exceptional investment, acumen and leadership. His track record in identifying profitable opportunities has been instrumental in driving the growth of our investment strategies. We are confident that under Robert’s leadership, our clients will continue to benefit from our firm’s robust investment approaches.”

Robert’s tenure at Whittier Trust began in December 2000, and his contributions have been critical in helping the firm and its clients navigate many complex and unprecedented market cycles. He has played a key role in growing both client portfolios and the firm itself.

As Director of Investments, Robert has a pivotal role in shaping Whittier Trust’s investment philosophy, creating customized strategies for clients, and overseeing the firm’s flagship large-cap equity strategy, known as Corporate America. He will also continue to serve on Whittier Trust’s committee that analyzes, selects, monitors, and advises on external investment managers, ensuring that clients have access to top-tier advisors and exceptional investment guidance.

Robert is an active member of the Nevada community, where he serves on the boards of Whittier Trust Company of Nevada, Big Brothers Big Sisters of Northern Nevada and the Renown Health Foundation. His commitment to giving back is also reflected in his role as Trustee of the Joshua L. Anderson Memorial Foundation and College Scholarship Fund.

For more information about Whittier Trust's investment strategies and portfolio management services, start a conversation with a Whittier Trust advisor today by visiting our contact page.

 

 

From Investments to Family Office to Trustee Services and more, we are your single-source solution.

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Mar 20th

Six Reasons Why Most UHNWIs Choose a Multi-Family Office

Your family office is a point of pride as well as a smart way to manage your business and personal affairs. But you don’t have to have a gold nameplate and command your own staff to reap all of the family-office benefits. In fact, a multi-family office typically offers greater advantages—and ironically, more control—than a single-family office. Here are six ways that a multi-family office gives you more.

Security & Compliance

Infrastructure, cybersecurity, compliance training . . . it’s tedious, it’s frustrating, and if you’re not out in front of it, you're putting yourself at risk. That’s a lot of pressure for your staff and family. At a multi-family office, we have expert teams on top of changing trends, regulations, and demands.

Flexibility to Evolve

It’s a common misconception that a single-family office will better address your family’s unique needs. But how can it, when it means you have to hire staff for each new development in your life? When your time is spent handling payroll, office space, and interpersonal dynamics, you’re left with less control of your life. The multi-family office infrastructure is designed to give you all the flexibility you need without worrying about reducing, reorganizing, or adding to your team. We hold your business and interests together as you evolve.

Trust & Objectivity

How well do you know your staff and trust their commitment to your goals? Are you certain they won’t be swayed by their own interests? Can they safely suggest different points of view, or do they perhaps feel pressure to agree and conform? How do you gauge their loyalty while allowing dissent? By its very nature, the multi-family office has checks and balances against rogue players or people pursuing their own self-interest. We act as fiduciaries, bound to manage your affairs to your greatest benefit, not ours.

Proactive Leadership

Successful executives are problem-solvers and often visionaries as well, always looking down the road for the next big thing and for solutions to potential issues. But a healthy company doesn’t rely on one leader to see everything. The cross-pollination among executives at a multi-family office creates an acutely proactive environment. Staff at a single-family office, on the other hand, tend to be more reactive to their specific set of circumstances, because focusing on that one family’s needs is the efficient thing to do.

Plus, some multi-family offices, such as Whittier Trust, have robust service offerings spanning various departments. Whether you need help launching a family foundation, acquiring or managing real estate, exploring alternative investments, or working through estate planning options to fit your unique needs, it’s all under one umbrella and at our fingertips.  

Privacy & Continuity

By definition, a single-family office should excel at protecting your privacy. But it can be difficult when multiple branches of a family want to keep their affairs separate. Sometimes you may even end up competing for staff loyalty. Your advisors at a multi-family office act as neutral mediators to help prevent these sorts of conflicts and maintain each family member’s interests and privacy. You can rely on that same team to help facilitate succession planning and generational wealth transfer and provide continuity for decades.

Help with Family Dynamics

No matter which type of office you have, family governance is typically led by a powerful patriarch or matriarch. But with a multi-family office team, there’s a counterbalance to that control dynamic. There are other voices suggesting governance structure and helping organize a family council or regular family meetings, ensuring everyone is heard and respected, and that everything can run smoothly.

How to Transition

So what if you currently have a single-family office and want to transition to a multi-family office? It doesn’t have to be complicated. There are natural points in any business for pausing and reassessing, and given how expensive and stressful a single-family office can be, simplicity and cost-effectiveness are always good reasons for a change. 

Let everyone know it’s time for a fresh analysis and audit of operations. Make it clear that during this transition, you will be analyzing risk and cash flow, prioritizing different investments to accommodate family member’s preferences, digitizing documents, etc. Perhaps you will be adding new services as well, such as philanthropic strategy, trust services, real estate, private equity, or direct investment in alternative assets. Because your team at the multi-family office will be accustomed to working with a wide variety of families, you can maintain relationships with existing staff and integrate key players into your new multi-family office.

Why Whittier Trust

Whittier Trust brings your investments, real estate, philanthropy, administrative services, trust services, and more under one roof—without you having to manage it. You maintain control over your portfolio, while your trusted team of advisors ensures that your investments work in concert with your estate plan. You get holistic, personalized, and responsive service with scalable efficiency. And you and your family get your lives back to enjoy.

For those seeking a seamless transition to a multi-family office, Whittier Trust stands out as an optimal choice. By entrusting your affairs to Whittier Trust, you not only maintain control over your portfolio but also gain access to a dedicated team of advisors committed to aligning your investments with your estate plan. Experience the benefits of holistic, personalized, and responsive service, all while enjoying the freedom to focus on what truly matters—your life and your family. Make the switch today and discover the peace of mind that comes with having Whittier Trust by your side.

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Written by Elizabeth M. Anderson, Vice President of Business Development at Whittier Trust. For more information, start a conversation with a Whittier Trust advisor today by visiting our contact page.

 

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Feb 1st

The Magnificent 7 and the Imperfect Index

Despite domestic and geopolitical uncertainty, equity portfolios performed quite well in 2023 as measured by the S&P 500 Index. The market return was largely driven by the seven largest constituents of the S&P 500, also known as the Magnificent Seven. The Magnificent Seven includes: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and Tesla. These companies account for over twenty-eight percent of the S&P 500 Index and collectively more than doubled in 2023.  The spectacular returns concentrated in a few names left the average stock returning less than half of the S&P 500 Index overall.  The Magnificent Seven masked the underlying share price weakness of most stocks in the S&P 500 Index.  The concentration of returns and weightings raises the question of whether the S&P 500 Index should be dissected for opportunities and imperfections.

S&P 500 Index

This leads us to our next point in which we discuss the construction of the S&P 500 Index and lessons to learn from the evolution of the index.  The S&P 500 Index is often referred to as a “passive index,” meaning there is not an active manager changing the constituents of the Index on a regular basis.  It may come as a surprise that in any given year there are several changes to the S&P 500 Index.  As companies are acquired, merged, or face challenging times, they must be replaced in the index so there remain exactly 500 companies.  Over the past decade a shocking 189 companies were added to the S&P 500 Index! 

Before we delve into the implications of the 189 additions to the “passive” S&P 500 Index, we should highlight that over 28% of the S&P 500 Index is now in just seven companies, aka the Magnificent Seven.  These seven companies are the largest because of their extraordinary performance over the past 15 years.  The magnificent seven returns (measured in multiples) since the market peak before the Great Financial Crisis (12/31/2007) through the most recent quarter (12/31/2023) are as follows:

  • Apple 32.1x
  • Google (Alphabet) 8.1x
  • Nvidia 63.4x
  • Amazon 32.8x
  • Tesla 156.3x (since IPO in 2010) (1.1x since S&P 500 Index inclusion in 2020)
  • Microsoft 14.5x
  • Meta 12.0x (since IPO in 2012) (6.5x since S&P 500 Index inclusion in 2013)

Usually, we talk about stocks and bonds in percentage terms reserving double digit multiples on investment for only the best Venture Capital hits.  In this case, writing about Apple stock’s 3,113% return (32.1x multiple) if purchased at one of the worst times in history (right before the financial crisis) through today seems absurd.  Thus, we can simply say that an investment in 2007 would today be worth 32.1x as much including dividends (equally absurd you say!).  This is a great reminder of how favorable investing in high quality companies can be over long periods of time.  (Imagine a game table in Las Vegas that gave you a greater than 50% chance of winning each day, a greater than 65% chance of winning over one year and a nearly 100% chance of winning over multiple decades.  You would want to play that game and only that game for as long as you possibly could.)  While the magnificent seven have all returned multiples of investment since 2007, the S&P 500 Index has also returned a handsome 4.5x (347%) return over that time frame. 

The 189 additions to the S&P 500 Index

Now back to the 189 companies that were added to the S&P 500 Index in the last decade. The 189 additions have been selected by a committee known as the S&P Dow Jones Indices Index Committee (within S&P Global).1  These additions have to be disclosed before they are added to the index.  Thus, the average of those 189 stocks saw a bump immediately before they were added to the S&P 500 Index.  On average, those 189 stocks returned 11% over the three month period prior to the announcement date.  As more and more investors allocate a portion of their portfolio to index funds, the newly added stocks see more and more demand for their shares ahead of being included in the index.  According to the Investment Company Institute, midway through 2023 there were over $6.3 trillion dollars invested in S&P 500 Index funds in the United States.  As a company is added to the S&P 500 Index there is significant buying power behind that addition.  

Magnificent Seven

The Magnificent Seven stock price appreciation in 2023 reflects their strong fundamentals.  These seven companies generally have high margins, low input costs, strong balance sheets, and no unionized labor.  Conveniently avoiding the major pitfalls of 2023.  Perhaps more importantly, the strong performance from the top seven companies and the outsized weightings of those companies, obfuscates the weakness of the other 493 stocks that are on average still down from the beginning of 2022.  After two years of negative returns for the majority of the stocks in the index, perhaps there are some bargains out there for long-term investors.

Conclusion

We can draw a number of conclusions from the above analysis:  

  1. The S&P 500 Index returns over the next few years will be heavily dependent on the Magnificent Seven. Fortunately, the majority of the Magnificent Seven have low debt levels, high profit margins, low labor expense relative to revenue, and are cash generative (higher interest rates may boost earnings).  
  2. The imperfect index will continue to evolve and change despite the passive moniker.  
  3. Being attentive to potential index inclusions will be ever more important as the size of assets invested in the index grows faster than the index itself.
  4. 2023 market returns have been skewed by the Magnificent Seven leaving potential bargains beneath the surface.  
  5. Finally, investing in high quality companies may pose risks in the near term, but continues to look favorable over extended periods of time.

 

Endnotes:

      Source:  S&P Global
      Source:  Bloomberg Intelligence
      Source:  Investment Company Institute

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